An alternative hypothesis: - model performance is plateauing - compute is getting much more expensive - AI data centers are massively unpopular - slowing down AI development is a way to explain slowing progress, reduce spending, and try to regain some goodwill. - This is an effo…↗

I've spent the past few weeks reading 100s of public data sources about AI development. I now believe that recursive self-improvement has a 60% chance of happening by the end of 2028. In other words, AI systems might soon be capable of building themselves.↗

Pumped to see AlphaSignal listed as #5 favorite way for AI devs to keep up with AI. Caught at @swyx AI Engineer Conference. Thanks everyone 🙌↗