Introducing Castle A company, today, is an unintentional wrapper of macro events: an airline is an embedded oil trade, a solar developer is a tax-credit bet, and a data center is a wager on permits clearing before a moratorium lands. These exposures are intangible, lack historic…↗

AI forecasting is now approximately superhuman. Today, FutureSearch is exiting our public beta and launching to everyone. FutureSearch is the original AI forecasting company, started in August 2023. We’re currently #1 of 194 in the most competitive AI forecasting tournament, and…↗

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I received the best job application I've ever received in the mail: - a printed cover letter and resume on incredibly high-quality paper - one of my favorite books, Skin in the Game by Nassim Taleb - a beautiful Kalshi-branded leather envelope↗